Prevalence and Costs of Esophageal Strictures in the United States.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Esophageal strictures are a leading cause of dysphagia, but data regarding the epidemiology of esophageal strictures are limited. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence, healthcare utilization, and financial burden of esophageal strictures in the United States. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study utilizing two large national insurance claims databases (MarketScan and Medicare). Using ICD-9 and -10 diagnostic codes, annual prevalence was calculated for both cohorts overall, as well as stratified by age and sex strata. Most common diagnostic and procedural codes associated with esophageal strictures were extracted and analyzed to estimate healthcare utilization. Direct annual medical costs of esophageal strictures were calculated. RESULTS: The annual prevalence of esophageal strictures in MarketScan in 2021 was 203.14 cases/100,000 people while the annual prevalence in Medicare cohort in 2017 was 1123.47 cases/100,000. While rates were relatively stable over time, esophageal stricture prevalence increased with advancing age. No prevalence differences were noticed between males and females. GERD/erosive esophagitis was the top diagnostic code associated with esophageal strictures, though an increase in the proportion of eosinophilic esophagitis codes was noted over time. Esophageal dilation codes were present in ∼50% of stricture cases. The total healthcare costs associated with esophageal strictures were estimated at $1.39 billion in 2017. CONCLUSIONS: Esophageal strictures are common, affecting between 1/100 to 1/1000 patients in the United States, with the highest rates seen in patients aged 75y and older. Accordingly, strictures have a significant financial burden on the healthcare system, with costs above $1 billion annually.

Pathologic complete response in patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemoradiation and chemotherapy are recommended for the treatment of nonmetastatic esophageal cancer. The benefit of neoadjuvant treatment is mostly limited to patients who exhibit pathologic complete response (pCR). Existing estimates of pCR rates among patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy have not been synthesized and lack precision. METHODS: We conducted an independently funded systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO CRD42023397402) of pCR rates among patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemo(radiation). Studies were identified from Medline, EMBASE, and CENTRAL database searches. Eligible studies included trials published from 1992 to 2022 that focused on nonmetastatic esophageal cancer, including the gastroesophageal junction. Histology-specific pooled pCR prevalence was determined using the Freeman-Tukey transformation and a random effects model. RESULTS: After eligibility assessment, 84 studies with 6451 patients were included. The pooled prevalence of pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in squamous cell carcinomas was 9% (95% CI: 6%-14%), ranging from 0% to 32%. The pooled prevalence of pCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in squamous cell carcinomas was 32% (95% CI: 26%-39%), ranging from 8% to 66%. For adenocarcinoma, the pooled prevalence of pCR was 6% (95% CI: 1%-12%) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and 22% (18%-26%) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. CONCLUSIONS: Under one-third of patients with esophageal cancer who receive neoadjuvant chemo(radiation) experience pCR. Patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinomas had higher rates of pCR than those with adenocarcinomas. As pCR represents an increasingly utilized endpoint in neoadjuvant trials, these estimates of pooled pCR rates may serve as an important benchmark for future trial design.

Adherence to prescription proton pump inhibitor therapy amongst individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus.

INTRODUCTION: In the United States, clinical guidelines recommend daily use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) amongst individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus to decrease the risk of progression to dysplasia and neoplasia. Prior studies documenting adherence to PPIs in this population have not characterized heterogeneity in adherence patterns. Factors that may relate to adherence are incompletely described. METHODS: We used administrative claims data from the Merative MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database to conduct a retrospective study of adherence to prescription PPIs. A cohort of individuals diagnosed with incident Barrett's esophagus between 2010 and 2019 was identified. Group-based trajectory models were generated to detect longitudinal adherence subgroups. RESULTS: 79 701 individuals with a new diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus were identified. The best fitting model detected five distinct adherence trajectory groups: consistently high (44% of the population), moderate decline (18%), slow decline (12%), rapid decline (10%), and decline-then-increase (16%). Compared to individuals starting PPIs, those already using PPIs were less likely to have a declining adherence pattern. Other factors associated with membership in a declining adherence group included (but were not limited to): female sex, having a past diagnosis of anxiety or depression, and having one or more emergency department visits in the past year. DISCUSSION: Using an exploratory method, we detected heterogeneity in adherence to prescription PPIs. Less than half of individuals were classified into the consistently high adherence group, suggesting that many individuals with Barrett's esophagus receive inadequate pharmacologic therapy.

Optimizing large real-world data analysis with parquet files in R: A step-by-step tutorial.

PURPOSE: The use of open-source programming languages can facilitate open science practices in real-world evidence (RWE) studies. Real-world studies often rely on using big data, which makes using such languages complicated. We demonstrate an efficient approach that enables RWE researchers to use R to undertake RWE analysis tasks from cohort building to reporting. METHODS: Using the Merative Marketscan data (2017-2019), we developed an R function to transform the data into parquet format to be used in R. Then, we compared the differences in data size before and after transformation. We compared the performance of the transformed data in R to the original data in terms of numerical consistency and running times required to complete simple exploratory tasks. To show how the transformed databases can be used in practice, we conducted a simplified replication of an active comparator new user study from the literature. All codes are available on GitHub. RESULTS: Our approach exhibited high efficiency in data storage, as evidenced by the converted data size, which ranged from 10% to 43% of that of the original data files. The runtime of the exploratory tasks in R generally outperformed that of the original data with SAS. We showed, through example, how the converted data can be efficiently used to implement an RWE study. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate a free and efficient solution to facilitate the use of open-source programming languages with big real-world databases, which can facilitate the adoption of open science practices.

Inverse Probability Weighting to Estimate Exposure Effects on the Burden of Recurrent Outcomes in the Presence of Competing Events.

Recurrent events-outcomes that an individual can experience repeatedly over the course of follow-up-are common in epidemiologic and health services research. Studies involving recurrent events often focus on time to first occurrence or on event rates, which assume constant hazards over time. In this paper, we contextualize recurrent event parameters of interest using counterfactual theory in a causal inference framework and describe an approach for estimating a target parameter referred to as the mean cumulative count. This approach leverages inverse probability weights to control measured confounding with an existing (and underutilized) nonparametric estimator of recurrent event burden first proposed by Dong et al. in 2015. We use simulations to demonstrate the unbiased estimation of the mean cumulative count using the weighted Dong-Yasui estimator in a variety of scenarios. The weighted Dong-Yasui estimator for the mean cumulative count allows researchers to use observational data to flexibly estimate and contrast the expected number of cumulative events experienced per individual by a given time point under different exposure regimens. We provide code to ease application of this method.

Trimodality Therapy vs Definitive Chemoradiation in Older Adults With Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The comparative effectiveness of trimodality therapy vs definitive chemoradiation for treating locally advanced esophageal cancer in older adults is uncertain. Existing trials lack generalizability to older adults, a population with heightened frailty. We sought to emulate a hypothetical trial comparing these treatments using real-world data. METHODS: A cohort of adults aged 66-79 years diagnosed with locally advanced esophageal cancer between 2004 and 2017 was identified in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare database. The clone-censor-weight method was leveraged to eliminate time-related biases when comparing outcomes between treatments. Outcomes included overall mortality, esophageal cancer-specific mortality, functional adverse events, and healthy days at home. RESULTS: A total of 1240 individuals with adenocarcinomas and 661 with squamous cell carcinomas were identified. For adenocarcinomas, the standardized 5-year risk of mortality was 73.4% for trimodality therapy and 83.8% for definitive chemoradiation (relative risk [RR] = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.82 to 0.95). Trimodality therapy was associated with mortality risk reduction for squamous cell carcinomas (RR = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.70 to 1.01). The 1-year incidence of functional adverse events was higher in the trimodality group (adenocarcinomas RR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.22 to 1.65; squamous cell carcinomas RR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.49). Over 5 years, trimodality therapy was associated with 160 (95% CI = 67 to 229) and 177 (95% CI = 51 to 313) additional home days in individuals with adenocarcinomas and squamous cell carcinomas, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with definitive chemoradiation, trimodality therapy was associated with reduced mortality but increased risk of function-related adverse events. Discussing these tradeoffs may help optimize care plans.

Patterns of care amongst older adults diagnosed with locally advanced esophageal cancer: A cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Since the early 2010s, neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy (trimodal therapy) has been a recommended treatment for patients diagnosed with locally advanced esophageal cancer. However, it may also add treatment-related toxicity, particularly for older adults with significant comorbidity and frailty burdens. We examined contemporary patterns of care in older adults, which have not been well characterized. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare database to identify a cohort of US adults aged 66 years and older diagnosed with incident locally advanced esophageal cancer between 2004 and 2017. Calendar year age-standardized percentages of treatment receipt were calculated. Joinpoint regression was used to detect temporal trends in treatment receipt. Descriptive associations between patient factors and treatment were assessed. Trend analyses quantified how the percentage of trimodal and definitive chemoradiation (no surgery) patients receiving cisplatin-based, carboplatin-based, and other chemotherapy regimens evolved over time. RESULTS: In total, 4332 adults aged ≥66 years with locally advanced esophageal cancer were included. The age-standardized percentage of patients receiving trimodal therapy increased from 16.7% in 2004 to 26.1% in 2017 (annual percent change = 3.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.7%-6.4%) in adenocarcinomas and from 7.3% in 2004 to 9.1% in 2017 (annual percent change = 0.4%; 95% CI, -4.1%-5.1%) in squamous cell carcinomas. By 2017, definitive chemoradiation became the most frequently used treatment modality for adenocarcinomas (49.8%; 95% CI, 43.5-56.0) and squamous cell carcinomas (59.5%; 95% CI, 50.8-68.2). Patients with higher comorbidity and frailty burdens were less likely to be treated with trimodal therapy. Amongst patients receiving chemoradiation as part of their treatment, a large and swift channeling away from cisplatin and towards carboplatin-based regimens was observed. DISCUSSION: In practice, definitive chemoradiation is the most commonly received treatment by older adults with locally advanced esophageal cancer. Four out of five older adults do not receive trimodal therapy, some of whom are potentially undertreated.

Autoimmune and viral risk factors are associated with achalasia: A case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Achalasia is a rare esophageal motility disorder of uncertain etiology. While past studies have indicated that autoimmune conditions and viral infections may be associated with development of achalasia, these associations are yet to be examined in large, population-based studies. METHODS: A matched case-control study was performed using administrative claim data from the IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters Database between 2000 and 2019. A history of selected autoimmune conditions and viral infections was assessed using past medical claims. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to account for the matched nature of the study design and further control for confounding by demographic and clinical characteristics when reporting adjusted odds ratios (aORs). KEY RESULTS: Among 6769 cases and 27,076 controls, presence of any of the autoimmune conditions studied was associated with increased odds of achalasia (aOR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.42). Scleroderma or systemic sclerosis (aOR = 8.13, 95% CI: 3.34, 19.80) and Addison's disease (aOR = 3.83, 95% CI: 1.83, 8.04) had the strongest associations with achalasia. Presence of any of the viral infections studied was also associated with an increased risk of achalasia (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.23, 2.01). Varicella zoster virus (aOR = 3.84, 95% CI: 1.94, 7.62) and human papillomavirus (aOR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.15, 2.73) both had strong relationships with achalasia. CONCLUSIONS AND INFERENCES: These findings suggest that achalasia may have autoimmune and viral components contributing to its etiology. Future mechanistic studies could target specific diseases and agents highlighted by this research.

Epidemiologic and Economic Burden of Achalasia in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Achalasia is a debilitating chronic condition of the esophagus. Currently there are no national estimates on the epidemiologic and economic burden of disease. We sought to estimate trends in incidence and prevalence of achalasia by age-sex strata, and to estimate the total direct medical costs attributed to achalasia in the United States. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using two administrative claims databases: IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database (2001-2018; age <65) and a 20% sample of nationwide Medicare enrollment and claims (2007-2015; age ≥65). Point prevalence was calculated on the first day of each calendar year; the incidence rate captured new cases developed in the ensuing year. Utilization rates of healthcare services and procedures were reported. Mean costs per patient were calculated and standardized to the corresponding U.S. Census Bureau population data to derive achalasia-specific total direct medical costs. RESULTS: The crude prevalence of achalasia per 100,000 persons was 18.0 (95% CI, 17.4, 18.7) in MarketScan and 162.1 (95% CI, 157.6, 166.6) in Medicare. The crude incidence rate per 100,000 person-years was 10.5 (95% CI, 9.9, 11.1) in MarketScan and 26.0 (95% CI, 24.9, 27.2) in Medicare. Incidence and prevalence increased substantially over time in the Medicare cohort, and increased with more advanced age in both cohorts. Utilization of achalasia-specific healthcare was high; national estimates of total direct medical costs exceeded $408 million in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: Achalasia has a higher epidemiologic and economic burden in the US than previously suggested, with diagnosis particularly increasing in older patients.

Comparative Effectiveness and Harms of Antibiotics for Outpatient Diverticulitis : Two Nationwide Cohort Studies.

BACKGROUND: Outpatient diverticulitis is commonly treated with either a combination of metronidazole and a fluoroquinolone (metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone) or amoxicillin-clavulanate alone. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration advised that fluoroquinolones be reserved for conditions with no alternative treatment options. The comparative effectiveness of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone versus amoxicillin-clavulanate for diverticulitis is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effectiveness and harms of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone versus amoxicillin-clavulanate for outpatient diverticulitis. DESIGN: Active-comparator, new-user, retrospective cohort studies. SETTING: Nationwide population-based claims data on U.S. residents aged 18 to 64 years with private employer-sponsored insurance (2000 to 2018) or those aged 65 years or older with Medicare (2006 to 2015). PARTICIPANTS: Immunocompetent adults with diverticulitis in the outpatient setting. INTERVENTION: Metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone or amoxicillin-clavulanate. MEASUREMENTS: 1-year risks for inpatient admission, urgent surgery, and Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) and 3-year risk for elective surgery. RESULTS: In MarketScan (IBM Watson Health), new users of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone (n = 106 361) and amoxicillin-clavulanate (n = 13 160) were identified. There were no differences in 1-year admission risk (risk difference, 0.1 percentage points [95% CI, -0.3 to 0.6]), 1-year urgent surgery risk (risk difference, 0.0 percentage points [CI, -0.1 to 0.1]), 3-year elective surgery risk (risk difference, 0.2 percentage points [CI, -0.3 to 0.7]), or 1-year CDI risk (risk difference, 0.0 percentage points [CI, -0.1 to 0.1]) between groups. In Medicare, new users of metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone (n = 17 639) and amoxicillin-clavulanate (n = 2709) were identified. There were no differences in 1-year admission risk (risk difference, 0.1 percentage points [CI, -0.7 to 0.9]), 1-year urgent surgery risk (risk difference, -0.2 percentage points [CI, -0.6 to 0.1]), or 3-year elective surgery risk (risk difference, -0.3 percentage points [CI, -1.1 to 0.4]) between groups. The 1-year CDI risk was higher for metronidazole-with-fluoroquinolone than for amoxicillin-clavulanate (risk difference, 0.6 percentage points [CI, 0.2 to 1.0]). LIMITATION: Residual confounding is possible, and not all harms associated with these antibiotics, most notably drug-induced liver injury, could be assessed. CONCLUSION: Treating diverticulitis in the outpatient setting with amoxicillin-clavulanate may reduce the risk for fluoroquinolone-related harms without adversely affecting diverticulitis-specific outcomes. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Decreased survival and increased recurrence in Merkel cell carcinoma significantly linked with immunosuppression.

BACKGROUND: Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare and aggressive form of skin cancer. It is an immunogenic tumor as evident by its association with Polyomavirus, immunotherapy response, and increased prevalence in the immunosuppressed population. OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the impact of known clinicopathological determinants and immunosuppression on the risk of recurrence and mortality of MCC patients. METHODS: A retrospective, observational cohort study of patients diagnosed and/or treated with MCC at two tertiary academic institutions. We compared clinicopathological determinants, treatment modalities, and immunosuppression status on clinical outcomes of recurrence, disease-specific survival, and overall survival. RESULTS: We evaluated 90 patients within our study and 34% had a cancer recurrence during follow-up. Patients with recurrence were significantly more likely to be immunosuppressed (32% vs 5%; P = .001). Estimated 5-year recurrence was 43%, and immunosuppressed patients were significantly more likely to recur (Hazard ratio [HR] 3.67 [1.80-7.51]; P < .0001). Immunosuppressed patients had significantly elevated cancer-specific mortality (HR 6.11[1.61-23.26]; P = .008). LIMITATIONS: Retrospective review with a prolonged observation period and changing treatment modalities. CONCLUSION: Immunocompromised patients had a threefold increased incidence of 5-year mortality and over twofold increased incidence of any recurrence as non-immunocompromised patients. Patients' immunosuppressive status should be considered when making decisions regarding treatment, surveillance, and prognostication.

Trends in Surgical Axillary Management in Early Stage Breast Cancer in Elderly Women: Continued Over-Treatment.

INTRODUCTION: In the past two decades, three prospective randomized trials demonstrated that elderly women with early stage hormone positive breast cancer had equivalent disease-specific mortality regardless of axillary surgery. In 2016, the Choosing Wisely campaign encouraged patients and providers to reconsider the role of axillary surgery in this population. We sought to identify factors that contribute to adopting non-operative management of the axilla in these patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of women ≥ 70 years old with cT1/T2, hormone positive invasive ductal carcinoma who underwent partial or total mastectomy, with/without axillary surgery, and did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy from the National Cancer Database from 2004 to 2015. We used multivariable log-binomial regression to model the risk of undergoing axillary surgery across region, care setting, and Charlson-Deyo scores, and analyzed temporal trends using Poisson regression. From 2004 to 2015, 87,342 of 99,940 women who met inclusion criteria (83%) had axillary surgery. Over time, axillary surgery increased from 78% to 88% (p < 0.001). This rise was consistent across region (p = 0.81) and care setting (p = 0.09), but flattened as age increased (p < 0.001). Omitting axillary surgery was more likely in patients treated in New England (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.86, 0.89) and patients ≥ 85 (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.65, 0.67). CONCLUSIONS: Axillary surgery continues to be the preferred option of axillary management in elderly women with early stage, clinically node negative, hormone-positive, invasive breast cancer despite no survival benefit. Identifying factors to improve patient selection and dissemination of current recommendations can improve adoption of current evidence on axillary surgery in the elderly.

Nodal positivity decreases with age in women with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Despite data demonstrating the safety of omitting axillary surgery in older women with early-stage breast cancer, the incidence of axillary surgery remains high. It was hypothesized that the prevalence of nodal positivity would decrease with advancing age. METHODS: The National Cancer Data Base was used to construct a cohort of adult women with early-stage, clinically node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive (ER+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer treated between 2013 and 2015. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between age and nodal positivity, and this was stratified by the axillary surgery category. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate the proportion of women receiving adjuvant therapy according to age and nodal status. RESULTS: The incidence of axillary surgery among women aged 70 and older (n = 51,917) remained high nationwide (86%). There was a significant decrease in nodal positivity with advancing age in women with early-stage, ER+, clinically node-negative breast cancer from the youngest cohort up to patients aged 70 to 89 years, and this was independent of histologic subtype (ductal vs lobular), race, comorbidities, and socioeconomic factors. Overall, less than 10% of women aged 70 or older who underwent surgery had node-positive disease, regardless of axillary surgery type, and almost 95% of node-positive patients aged 70 or older were at pathological stage N1mi or N1. CONCLUSIONS: Axillary surgery may be safely omitted for many older women with ER+, clinically node-negative, early-stage breast cancer. Nodal positivity declines with advancing age, and this suggests varied biology in older patients versus younger patients.